Bitcoin models

Bitcoin Floors & Kill Zone

Model credit: InvestAnswers (IA) (opens in a new tab). IA's public rules and dated calls; our build on public prices.

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Educational model, not investment advice. Public rules from InvestAnswers (IA), applied to public prices. Past patterns don't guarantee future results. Full disclosure below.

BTC close

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Loading the snapshot…Floors are levels to watch, not predictions.

Moving-average floors

BTC close
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200-week MA
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200-day MA
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365-day MA
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Price and floors

Price and floors, highest first

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Is the bull intact? IA's four-step check

IA's four steps, as he walked through them on May 25, 2025. Watch from 0:51 (opens in a new tab)

  1. ATR model. Is the trend still up on IA's ATR model, with a buy signal?

    Display-only

    IA's own indicator, not public data, so this panel can't check it.

  2. 200-day MA. Has BTC been below its 200-day MA for 4 weeks? IA: If we breach that and hang down there for an extended period of time, we're talking 4 weeks. That's a bad sign.

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  3. Optimized Trend. Is IA's Optimized Trend blue and pointing up? Orange typically marks the down cycle. IA: This determines if the bull market is intact

    Display-only

    IA's indicator. Our nearest stand-in is the Rotation System v7 BTCUSD 4H OT regime. It's a stand-in, not IA's line, and isn't shown on this free panel.

  4. TABI (IA's top/bottom indicator). Which colour is TABI on? It goes orange, then dark orange, then red. IA: When we go red, it's time to hedge

    Display-only

    IA's multi-metric indicator, not computable from public prices.

Steps we can compute from public prices: … of 1 pass. Display-only: 3.

Separate from the four steps: IA's 200-day reclaim rule (May 18, 2026) says a move back above must hold at least 3 days (3 closes in a row). Last 3 closes: … the 200-day MA.

IA's kill zone

$65K, one level from IA's call on Mar 3, 2026

definitely in the kill zone right now. If you have no Bitcoin, it's worth a dabble at 65k

IA, Mar 3, 2026. Watch at 17:34 (opens in a new tab)

Shown as he dated it: not a live rule, and it isn't updated. IA gave one level, not a low-to-high band.

IA's rules

Daily closes (UTC) through … · snapshot built … · source: Coinbase BTC-USD.

Educational and informational only, not investment advice. This panel restates public rules and dated calls by InvestAnswers (IA), credited to him, and applies them to public daily price data. Any errors in applying them are ours. Figures use public daily prices and dated inputs, and may be out of date. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. HODLBARBARIAN Capital is not a registered investment adviser. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional before investing.